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Emerging markets are on high alert following the election of Donald Trump as President of the United States. This has inflated uncertainty about the 2017 global outlook, primarily through interest rate and trade channels. While the policy agenda of the Trump presidency remains unclear, two of his pledges could have significant impacts: fiscal stimulus and protectionism. Spill-overs into EMEs would be most acute through the interest rate channel as US rates could increase more quickly than previously anticipated and through the trade channel.

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