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The broad-based appreciation of the euro this year raises some interesting macroeconomic questions. Specifically, will euro strength reduce export growth and thereby weigh on overall GDP growth? Will CPI inflation, which is benign already, recede further due to euro appreciation? In our view, we are still a long way away from worrying about the growth-restraining and CPI-depressing effects of euro appreciation, because the effects that the exchange rate has on export growth and CPI inflation tend to be rather modest.

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