Leftovers Are for Quitters - The closest thing to leftovers in economic data are unfilled orders, which may help sustain factory activity, but they're unlikely to be a saving grace should demand dry up more meaningfully. In addition to a jump in durable goods orders this week, new home sales shot higher in October. The number of people still on unemployment benefits rose to the highest level since March.
European Sentiment Improves, but Recessions Unavoidable - Eurozone and U.K. purchasing manager indices were better than expected in November, but remain in contraction territory. While the upside surprise signals the magnitude of economic contraction may not be as severe as initially expected in Q4-2022, we still believe recessions in the Eurozone and U.K. are imminent.